Tag Archives: Risk

This is it!

NYSE-investor-credit-SPX-since-1980

NYSE-margin-debt-SPX-growth-since-1995

vix

SPX-10-yr-yield-and-fed-intervention

http://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/NYSE-Margin-Debt-and-the-SPX.php

COM-Traders-Stampede-to-Cash-06282013

But who do we sell to?   (Let’s not forget the risks as new highs are made every-hour-of-every day since good news is good news and bad news is good news).

http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc130722.htm

RISK!

MUSEUM

Risk is a function of market participants having a perception of lower risks while governments increase their intervention of market prices.–Chicago Slim

One Sign of Increasing Risk: GOFO

The lack of liquidity in the leasing market for gold has pushed the gold forward rates (“GOFO”) into negative territory, meaning that gold for forward delivery is trading at a discount to the physical spot market price–a rare situation that has only occurred a few times in the past twenty years–the last time in Nov. 2008 when a scramble for physical spurred a sharp rally in the dollar price of gold.

This week the GOFO rate did something it has only done a handful of times in its long history–it went negative out to three months which means somebody was willing to pay to have gold instead of dollars right now.

Be careful out there!

My BEST DAY EVER!

 

Crowded Pit

My Best Day Ever.

No, I am not talking about today, though all my stocks are rising like soybean futures in an August drought.  Why?

http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2013/02/s-500-off-to-best-start-since-97.html

I don’t know what the future will bring, but I do know risks are rising. Values are out there, but with more uncertainty attached.  Experience has taught me to deal with excruciating pressure such as whether to buy the yellow Lamborgini Yellow

or the red Ferrari. Red

I am thinking of putting in a fur-lined sink or is that too much? How about I finally do something for the boy scouts. Boy Scouts I’ll hire a bus to New York City for a visit here:

Back Twenty-Four Years Ago in Chicago

But I remember the best day of my life 24-years ago back when I was a young pit trader on the Chicago Open Board (Mid-Am Exchange) doing this, Chicago Pit

when–within 24-hours--I went broke, my fiancé nixed our wedding day, and my suicide attempt failed. Oh, and the Cubs lost again.

Never would adversity teach so much to an arrogant, ignorant, selfish, and insane twenty-two year old.  To be continued………………

Have a Great Weekend!

PS: Three-minute kindergarten course on investing. It is never too late to get started.