This is part two for those who valued the mysterious company in the previous post found here: http://csinvesting.org/2011/11/29/what-would-you-pay/
Not knowing the company or the price of the stock can keep you clear-headed and away from stories. There is no one right valuation since it depends upon your discount rate. But Buffett said your goal as an investor should be to acquire as many compounding machines at good prices as you can. I will venture to say that if you can buy 15 to 25 companies with 10% free cash flow yields, steady historical performance with decent (greater than 12%) returns on assets, relatively clean balance sheets, growing 4% to 8%, you will do well over several years.
Nothing is guaranteed, but the odds are against strong, steady and stable companies collapsing while you own them. Some may disappoint but chance favors you.
Now if you look at the company you will hear the stories: pharmaceutical companies are struggling, Europe will collapse, the price has gone sideways for years………….etc., etc.
Find another 19 more of these and you have one heck of a portfolio–IMHO.
Let’s revisit this in two years.
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