King Dollar or Listening to Pundits

7-Dollar

The dollar “breaks-out” and

8-dollar-sentiment

Sentiment and consensus rally–a new KING DOLLAR for many years to come.

6-Gold-weekly

Gold, of course, sells off on King Dollar, stronger US economy, and less inflation fears.

This post illustrates the HUGE swings in sentiment from the DEATH of THE DOLLAR in 2011 when this was occuring:

dollar gold

Back to today (Oct. 2014)

Dollar

King Dollar, with the obvious understanding that it’s dominance has only just begun (Dennis Gartman at minute 2 proclaims a bull run for the US dollar-click on this link). My have we come a long way from the new moon of the dollar cycle low in late April of 2011, where many of the same players and pundits openly declared the dollar crisis in full swing and just getting started. Back then, the mood in the markets was decisively dimmer, from both the usual suspects – to the ominous warnings from leaders in the private sector that the US consumer would soon face “serious” inflation in the months ahead.

Lesson: The same pundit, Dennis Gartman, who was proclaiming the Death of the Dollar in 2011 near the absolute low is now, four years later, trumpeting that the Dollar is King. No one knows the path of the dollar or gold. We can make our own probabilities but to be CERTAIN is the sin.  I gave up watching CNBC then years ago. 

from: http://www.marketanthropology.com/

And what do the pundits say about this on CNBC?

sp.profits

sp500.all_1-600x398

I hear crickets…………..

4 responses to “King Dollar or Listening to Pundits

  1. Haha that last chart is hilarious. Way to manipulate data in to saying what you want.

    How can you compare a compounded index versus an absolute like Tbill rates versus a one-time event like the monetary expansion all in one chart?

    It’s like when Dwight Schrute said his speed was some where between a mongoose, a panther… and a rattle snake.

  2. Hello,
    I’m a longtime follower of your blog.Here is a request for you.There was a magazine called Trader Monthly published from 2004 to 2009.I remember reading lot of excellent interviews,special year end features and other investing stuff not found in regular discourse.If you can post scanned copies of the old issues,it would be great.
    Thanks & Regards,
    kshetrag

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