Tag Archives: hays advisory

I made a wrong mistake! –Yogi Berra

What the #$%^@! Happened? http://performance.morningstar.com/fund/performance-return.action?t=TILFX

I am still working on my advice to an investor. Also, I am having to sell stocks that have reached my targets (ORI, NVS, MMM, etc.) so cash builds up and finding opportunities takes more digging.

The Bull Case: http://blog.haysadvisory.com/2013/01/it-takes-3-years-to-make-us-believers.html

http://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/2013/01/economic-fundamentals-drive-equities.html

Bears throwing in the towel–Will the market EVER go down:http://www.cnbc.com/id/100401616  (CNBC Video/Article)

And the scary Bear Case:  http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc130122.htm

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1134651-it-feels-like-the-dotcom-craze-all-over-again

The Bear Market of 2009 felt like this:

Doesn’t feel like that now does it?  My self inflicted advice is to look from the bottom-up, but do not become complacent. I am not calling a top, just realize that risks rise when fear declines. Maintain your standards.

Be careful out there!

Switch Sides:http://www.cnbc.com/id/42459309

Sentiment Survey Results as of 1/23/2013

The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market for the next six months; individuals are polled from the ranks of the AAII membership on a weekly basis. Only one vote per member is accepted in each weekly voting period. Survey Results Sentiment Survey ResultsWeek ending 1/23/2013 Data represents what direction members feel the stock market will be in the next 6 months. Bullish 52.3% up 8.4 Neutral 23.4% down 5.3 Bearish 24.3% down 3.1 Note: Numbers may not add up to 100% because of rounding. Change from last week:Bullish: +8.4 Neutral: -5.3 Bearish: -3.1 Long-Term Average:Bullish: 39.0% Neutral: 30.5% Bearish: 30.5%