Category Archives: Housekeeping

Housekeeping: Date with Lindsay Lohan Test. Be Investors.

Flooded with emails

Ok Guys (not many women investors out there? I believe women have less of an ego than men and thus are more likely to not over trade, be overconfident, etc.) I have received more than 27 emails asking how you can date Lindsay Lohan.  This is a blog dedicated to becoming the best investor you can be not a dating blog.   The prize to have a date with Lindsay was presented here: http://csinvesting.org/2011/12/01/test-question-best-investment-over-the-past-10-years-better-than-gold-berkshire-bonds/ If you answered the question correctly.

I appreciate the spirit of the emails. Ben Graham was a serial womanizer (http://www.amazon.com/dp/0140255346/ref=rdr_ext_tmb), and Buffett remained married while living for years with another woman in Omaha.  Of all the shareholder meetings in Omaha why hasn’t someone grabbed the mike and asked Mr. Buffett, “Please tell me how you have managed to have your wife and girlfriends get along so well?” I consider Mr. Buffett’s arrangement a far greater accomplishment than his investing results and philanthropic endeavors.

That said, I want you to be investors: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYk-F81sfRE&feature=related

Test to Date Lindsay Lohan

Lindsay has asked me to screen any candidates so I have devised a simple one question test. To have any chance, you must answer the question correctly.

Choose one answer:

You meet Lindsay Lohan on your first date and immediately she asks you to help kill her father. You reply by saying:

  • I have done it before, and I can help you now.
  • Yes, but only if you help with my mother. Criss-cross. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X1jj73Nw58I
  • You offer her the services of your psychiatrist.
  • You say you forgot to put quarters in the parking meter and gently excuse yourself.
  • I gotta call 911.

If you fail this test then I recommend a training tape of how to date:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=StNWdJxOqd8&feature=related

No more emails on dating Lindsay Lohan please!  Get back to work.

Update on Value Vault Videos and Materials

Dear Readers & Contributors:

I accidently gave permission to one of you to modify the folder and guess what?All videos and materials got deleted!   This was by accident no doubt.

I have gone and made sure that everyone who has accessed the folder only has permission to VIEW the contents.

But I now have to upload 750MB files – 16 or more of them so it may take several hours (15) before everything is back up. Additional books and pdfs. will be added as well.  Please bear with me.

Also if you or new readers want continuous access to the Value Vault as new material is added then download the free www.yousendit.com app here: http://www.yousendit.com/applications

Then you will be alerted at your desktop whenever there is a change.   This will be like sharing a library where everyone can read whatever book/video is in the vault at any time.

Sorry for this inconvenience but within a day the Value Vault will be replenished.

 

Value Vault Updated!

Practice doesn’t make perfect. Perfect practice makes perfect. –Alex Ovechkin, NHL Washington Capitals.

The Value Vault has been updated with 16 videos and several books. For those who already sent me your emails, you should have automatically received an update. For those new to this blog, please just send an email to: Aldridge56@aol.com with the line: VALUE VAULT. I will send you the link in a day or two.   Your email will not be shared or compromised.

The videos are the equivalent of an MBA course in investing. However, the real learning won’t take place until you use the concepts in your own investing.

One reader was kind enough to send his thoughts on the Value Vault:

“Like wow dude! You know, ugh, these vids are bitchin’.”

I appreciate the enthusiasm since your comments and suggestions are always welcome.  The more specific the better to help you learn.

An early Christmas present(s) for you all. Be well,

John Chew

Value Vault Videos Available

A link to the value vault (A folder containing several videos of great investor lectures like Michael Price, etc.) was sent to readers who previously requested video links.

If you did not receive this link or would like to have access to the folder just email me at aldridge56@aol.com   with the title VALUE VAULT.

You will not have to pay the $80,000 a year for an MBA program; instead view these lectures in the comfort of your home.

Please send comments or suggestions.

Who Are You and What is Your Background?

Who Am I?

Excuse this egocentric post. Several readers have asked, “Who are you and what is your experience in investing.”  I don’t believe the who is important. You have to take what is useful and prove everything asserted here to yourself.  I purposely have taken out the names of some great investors for two reasons:

  1. To protect their privacy
  2. To have you focus on the concepts and principles rather than the notoriety of the speaker.  Never cease to do your own thinking.

I wrote a parody of my investment career and how I fell into value investing when I submitted this article to www.fool.com a few years ago.

How I Became a Value Investor

In my peripatetic life I have been a ruby smuggler, commodity trader, securities analyst, investment banker, and entrepreneur. Each role taught me more about value investing.

As a ruby smuggler, I moved product to where demand was greatest. I operated in the world of supply and demand which translates into reversion to the mean for an investor. For example, I would buy rubies for x and sell them for 2x. The
market naturally brings in capital until the opportunity vanishes. I learned
not to mindlessly extrapolate current results into the future.

Commodity trading taught me that the role of the marginal buyer and seller sets
the price: “Mr. Market” at work. When bond traders at the CBOT wade into the
soybean pit because that is where the “action” is (high prices and volume),
then I saw the most anxious buyer set the highest prices. Prices often diverge
widely from value because people just can’t help themselves; they go crazy
sometimes.

Later, I found myself at an obscure securities firm writing reports and raising
money for companies. Brokers were desperate to sell stories to gullible
investors. Action and excitement ruled and incessant activity was the lifeblood
of the firm, but where were the customers’ yachts?

I was a pimp with tasseled-loafers when I sold the firm’s over-hyped
merchandise to institutional investors who rarely did their own work. In my
reports I predicted next quarters’ earnings. A fool’s game. Even if by some
miracle my guess was close to actual results, it didn’t matter if the expectations
were even higher. Ah, the danger of momentum investing.

If I ran naked onto Cramer’s Mad Money show while waving a shrunken head,
ripped the mike from his clenched fist and predicted the direction of the
market, my predictions would be just as prescient as his. Predictions are the
sound and fury of Wall Street predicting nothing. Experience taught me to focus
on business value.

There had to be a better way. I had been reading about this guy in Omaha, but
the lessons didn’t really sink in until I left Wall Street in disgust to start
several businesses. As a businessman I had to worry about hiring, firing,
generating sales and strategy. Buffett’s focus on business, competitive
analysis and management started to resonate: the right people are everything,
operational efficiency is a constant task, capital allocation is tied into
strategy and management incentives matter a lot. Businesses usually don’t fit
neatly into spread sheets or our assumptions. Becoming a rational businessman
is quite different than gazing at flashing stock prices.

Rationality and knowledge will eventually triumph over fear, euphoria and
emotionalism. Try going into your local store and offering the owner half the
cash in his till, then tell him to get out because you own the business now.
Crazy? Mr. Market offered some Internet companies at half their cash value in
2002/2003. That is what I call a margin of safety!

Once a value investor, you never go back.

More Video Lectures….

to be sent to all who wish to view privately. However, I must first post the supporting case studies in the next few weeks with solutions before I send out the videos or else you won´t have the maximum benefit.

Many readers have been gracious in their praise of the videos. Thanks, but I never found just viewing them to be as good a learning tool as trying to value the companies mentioned myself. Then I would go back and listen again and again.

Perhaps viewers gain an emotional boost watching Great Investors discuss their craft?

The additional videos should be available (another 5) before Thanksgiving.   Ever think of how the life cycle of a turkey is similar to the chart of Enron?  The turkey´s growth rises until that final day-then it’s over.

Thanks for your patience. To tide you over, you can view other investors discussing their methods at the Ben Graham Center (Ivey Business School in Canada): http://www.bengrahaminvesting.ca/Resources/audio.htm

Another great resource.

Attribution, Sharing and the Education Bubble

I am off the beaten track down in Mexico but occasionally I reach an Internet Cafe with dial up. Who cares if it takes a week to download a file?   Upon return I will post more case studies and supporting material  for additional video lectures. Then, if you wish, I will send you other video lectures.

Housekeeping

Just a housekeeping matter: a reader alerted me that www.valuewalk.com posted some of the lectures on this blog without attribution. Anyone can share and post these lectures, make critiques, and discuss the material here or on their own site with or without attribution. I believe in the creative commons approach to information. Many great investors helped me and if I can share my material as a way to give back then great. Please feel free to share the lectures with anyone. The videos are the exception for privacy reasons.

Education Bubble

The other goal of this blog is to learn how to become the best investor you can be.  You do not have to go to a fancy MBA program, obtain a Chartered Financial Analyst certification (¨CFA¨) or have gone to Harvard to become a good investor.   You do have to study the right principles, keep diligently applying those principles through your own circle of competence and the opportunities in front of you or in the future, don´t firtter away your time (listening to the pundits on CNBC for investing ideas might qualify) and track of your progress.

Acquiring knowledge is important but there are many ways to learn. The article below describes the bubble in traditional education: http://lewrockwell.com/bonner/bonner515.html

An excerpt:

A zoo economy keeps the old animals alive as long as possible.

Let’s look at education. Now, there’s an industry – we can all agree – that adds value. You could look at it as a charitable activity. Or as a profit-making business. Either way, education has to be a plus for the individual and for the society, right?

Wrong on both points. Education is only a benefit when freely floating prices are allowed to determine what it is worth. First, let us look at the whole industry…..

Videos on Value Investing Case Studies

These are excellent lectures from which case studies have been posted.

I can not post these publicly but I can send you a link to www.yousendit.com
for you to download the video files ( each about 1/2 to 1 GB).

So send me an email at aldridge56@aol.com and write: VIDEO LECTURES
in the subject line. Please keep private for your own use.

I will be away for the next few weeks so enjoy the videos and more case studies when I return. You may not receive a link to the lectures until Monday so I ask for your patience.

If readers enjoy the videos there are about 14 more lectures on video. Let me know what you think.

Welcome to CSInvesting.org

Visit the Book Vault:

Books (You can only download contents from this folder)
View this folder

“Investment is most intelligent when it is most businesslike.” – Benjamin Graham, The Intelligent Investor, 1973

“Life is tough. It’s tougher if you’re stupid.” –John Wayne, Western Film Icon.

“As to methods, there may be a million and then some, but principles are few. The man who grasps principles can successfully select his own methods. The man, who tries methods, ignoring principles, is sure to have trouble.” – Ralph Waldo Emerson, Essayist and Poet.

CSInvesting’s purpose is to help self-directed, independent-thinking, skeptical individuals become the best they can be in investing and business analysis. Here they will find readings, videos, links and case studies on search strategies, valuation, risk mitigation, Austrian economics as applied to investing, fractional reserve banking, booms and busts, strategic analysis, special situations and portfolio management, but also tangential topics like philosophy and mental models. My goal will be to have my reference library on the web for access to all. That said you should follow this ancient wisdom:

“Do not believe in anything simply because you have heard it. Do not believe in anything simply because it is spoken and rumored by many. Do not believe in anything simply because it is found written in your religious books. Do not believe in anything merely on the authority of your teachers and elders. Do not believe in traditions because they have been handed down for many generations. But after observation and analysis, when you find that anything agrees with reason and is conducive to the good and benefit of one and all, then accept it and live up to it.” –Buddha (Hindu Prince Gautama Siddharta, the founder of Buddhism, 563 – 483 b.c.)

Or listen to one of our modern philosophers, Public Enemy perform Don’t Believe the Hype! www.youtube.com/watch?v=aCLrPieciJo&feature=related before taking anything you read at face value.

Finally, the great investor, Philip Fisher dedicated his book, Paths to Wealth through Common Stocks (1960) to investors, large and small, who do not adhere to the philosophy: “Everyone seems to believe it, so it must be so.”

With all the quotes I am hoping to instill that the only way YOU will become a great investor is to be unique. Take these principles, case studies and learn to apply them to your own opportunities and situation.

The Search for Bargains

“The best bargains are not stocks whose prices are down the most, but rather those stocks having the lowest prices in relation to possible earnings power of future years.” –John Templeton

“To buy when others are despondently selling and to sell when others are avidly buying requires the greatest fortitude and pays the greatest ultimate rewards.” –Sir John Templeton.

You do not want to be an investor caught in a panic or mania on Wall Street: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Lu8194ajkI&feature=relmfu

OK, all those common sense suggestions for investing are nice to know but how do we implement such an approach. How do we figure out intrinsic value and a margin of safety? Warren Buffett said that if he were teaching an investment class, he would focus on A. Valuing a business and B. How to think about prices. We need to think through distinguishing between valuing assets and valuing a franchise, being cognizant of what we pay for growth in an investment and how do we manage risk of a permanent loss of capital. I will start with a series of investment lectures which will include case studies and then different investment problems will be analyzed in separate readings, links or videos.

Finally let me state my biases upfront. I don’t believe one must graduate from business school, have gone to college, and have an MBA, CPA or CFA to be a great investor. In fact, I would wager that if a person wanted to really learn about investing, he or she could take a few introductory accounting courses through a free web program like http://www.khanacademy.org/, read Buffett’s Shareholder Letters http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html), and subscribe to www.grantspub.com for the hefty price of $950 or so but cheap compared to a $150,000 business school tab. At Grant’s Interest Rate Observer http://www.grantspub.com/ you could download and study all past issues since 1982 while learning how a thoughtful, articulate Graham and Dodd investor approached various market cycles through specific investments. Of course, as an ambitious student you would download the financials from the SEC’s website to look at the various companies Grant’s mentions as well as reading many of the books he suggests. Now I admit the person who applies himself to such a project would not be your typical person, but I am suggesting one way to learn.

“Self-education is, I firmly believe, the only kind of education there is.” –Isaac Asimov, Author of over five hundred books.

“Many who are self-taught far excel the doctors, masters, and bachelors of the most renowned universities.” – Ludwig Von Mises, Austrian Economist and author of Human Action.

Let’s begin the journey.